* Risk aversion rises after weak U.S. jobs data
* U.S. Oct payrolls fall 190,000, jobless rate at 10.2 pct
* Traders reduce bets of Fed raising interest rates
* Investors also keep an eye on G20 meeting
(Adds details, updates prices, quotes, changes byline)
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The dollar and yen rose on
Friday after a report showed the U.S. unemployment rate spiked
and the economy lost more jobs than expected, stoking concerns
about the U.S. economy and restoring safe-haven demand for both
currencies.
The news dashed hopes the recession was ending after recent
gross domestic product and jobless claims readings had seemed
to indicate a recovery. With the labor market still weak, U.S.
consumer sentiment and spending will likely remain under
pressure, analysts said.
On Friday, the government reported U.S. employers cut a
deeper-than-expected 190,000 jobs in October, driving the
unemployment rate to a 26-1/2-year high at 10.2 percent. For
details, see [ID:nN04495174].
The jobless figures "grabbed attention upon the
announcement and created an avalanche of currency selling in
favor of the dollar by investors," said Andrew Wilkinson,
senior market analyst at Interactive Brokers in Greenwich,
Connecticut.
In late afternoon trading, the euro slipped 0.2 percent at
$1.4841, near a session low at $1.4815, according to
Reuters data. The euro briefly erased losses versus the dollar
to hit a session high of $1.4913.
Against the yen the dollar fell as low as 89.62 yen,
according to Reuters data, and last traded 0.9 percent lower at
89.90 yen . The euro declined 1.1 percent to 133.56 yen, after hitting a session low of 133.22 yen.
The dollar and yen tend to move in tandem with swings in
risk appetite, rising when economic numbers are bad or when
stocks are down.
Analysts said the dollar also came under pressure against
the yen as two-year U.S. Treasury yields eased after the jobs
data. The two-year notes are most sensitive to potential
changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Low U.S. interest rates have fueled speculation the
greenback has replaced the yen as a primary funding currency in
carry trades. In such trades, investors borrow in low-yielding
currencies and reinvest the proceeds in currencies and assets
with greater returns.
"Dollar/yen has essentially become an interest rate play,"
said Paresh Upadhyaya, portfolio manager at Putnam Investments
in Boston. "With interest-rate differentials narrowing further
against the dollar, you're seeing dollar/yen under pressure."
The dollar initially rose after the jobs data on safe-haven
demand, but pared gains on reduced expectations the Fed would
tighten its ultra-loose monetary policy soon. The implied
chances of the Fed's first rate hike by mid-2010 slipped to
about 66 percent from 84 percent late on Thursday.
[ID:nNYE002745]
The ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, a measure of the
greenback's value against a basket of six other major
currencies, was little changed at 75.774 .
Daniel Katzive, currency strategist at Credit Suisse in New
York, said the jobs number was not weak enough to call into
question a global recovery story. At the same time, it was poor
enough to keep the markets thinking the Fed will hold rates for
some time.
Meanwhile, a meeting of finance ministers and central
bankers the Group of 20 major industrialized and emerging
nations in Scotland on Friday and Saturday is also in focus,
although discussions on currencies are not on the formal
agenda.
(Additional reporting by Wanfeng Zhou; Editing by Leslie
Adler)