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Global Markets News
* Raises cash rate 50 bps, biggest move in more than 20 years * RBNZ says wants to avoid high inflation becoming entrenched * RBNZ says global economic environment 'highly uncertain' * Central bank keeps peak of cash rate at around 3.35% end of 2023 (Adds detail, context and economists' comments) By The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the official
cash rate to 1.50%, a level not seen since All 21 economists in a Reuters poll had expected the RBNZ to hike the official cash rate, but only six had forecast a 50 basis-point move. The rest had expected a 25 basis-point increase, while
financial markets were fully priced for the larger hike - the
biggest tightening since "A larger move now also provides more policy flexibility ahead in light of the highly uncertain global economic environment," the RBNZ said in a statement accompanying its decision. The central bank, however, tempered its hawkish stance by
keeping its previous projections for the cash rate to peak
around 3.35% at the end of 2023.
That held back the kiwi dollar from rallying sharply - it
added 0.5% to Two-year swap rates actually eased 17 basis points to 3.46% as the market trimmed back some of its future tightening expectations. "The key point is that they have signalled that the OCR
track remains about the same. This is only moderately hawkish,
the currency can go up a little bit," said The RBNZ has been one of the most aggressive central banks
in rolling back stimulus as policymakers sought to get on top of
a red-hot housing market and soaring inflation. The 'PATH OF LEAST REGRET' Global bond yields have surged over recent weeks, pushed higher by runaway inflation and an aggressive Federal Reserve, which is expected to deliver two back-to-back half-point interest rate hikes in May and June on top of its 25-bps move in March, a Reuters poll showed. https://www.reuters.com/business/fed-raise-rates-aggressively-coming-months-say-economists-2022-04-11 The minutes of the RBNZ meeting said the board members agreed that their policy "path of least regret" is to increase the OCR by more now to head off rising inflation expectations and minimise any unnecessary volatility in output, interest rates, and the exchange rate in the future. The members were also of the view the cash rate was still stimulatory at its current level. The RBNZ expects annual inflation to peak around 7% in the first half of this year, well above its 1-3% target, underlining the urgency to temper price-setting behaviour. "The Reserve Bank has shown that they're pretty keen to get the cash rate higher earlier so we'll have a cash rate of 3% by the end of the year, which is quite punchy when you think about where other central banks are." (Reporting by
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