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Global Markets News
INFLATION "As a result of higher global food prices, local food price inflation is also revised up and is now expected to be 6.6% in 2022 (up from 6.1%), and 5.6% in 2023 (up from 5.1%). Food price inflation is forecast to ease to 4.2% in 2024 (down from 4.4%)." "The Bank's forecast of headline inflation for this year is revised higher to 5.9% (from 5.8%), primarily due to the higher food and fuel prices." "Core inflation is forecast lower at 3.9% in 2022 (down from 4.2%) due to lower services price inflation." ECONOMIC GROWTH "The economy is expected to grow by 1.7% in 2022, revised down from 2.0% at the time of the March meeting. This is due to a combination of short-term factors, including the flooding in Kwa-Zulu Natal and the continued electricity supply constraints." "The economy is forecast to expand by 1.9% in both 2023 and 2024. At these rates, growth remains well above a low rate of potential, impacted by loadshedding, infrastructure and policy constraints." "Overall, and after revisions, the risks to the medium-term domestic growth outlook are assessed to be balanced." DECISION "Against this backdrop, the MPC decided to increase the
repurchase rate by 50 basis points to 4.75% per year, with
effect from the 20 of "The implied policy rate path of the QPM, given the
inflation forecast, indicates gradual normalisation through to
2024. As usual, the repo rate projection from the QPM remains a
broad policy guide, changing from meeting to meeting in response
to new data and risks."
(Reporting by Olivia Kumwenda-Mtambo,
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