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Global Markets News
* * Currency propped up by capital controls * Hits 58.68 vs euro, gains over 4% vs dollar (Updates prices, adds analyst comment, bullets) By It was 4.6% stronger against the dollar at 57.47
, not far from 57.0750, its strongest mark since
late The rouble has firmed about 30% against the dollar this year
despite a full-scale economic crisis in The rouble is being driven by export-focused companies that
are obliged to convert their foreign currency revenue after the
sanctions froze nearly half of While the central bank and government leave restrictions in place, the rouble could continue to strengthen further in the medium term, said Tinkoff Investments analysts. "Closer to autumn, the exchange rate may start to stabilise nearer to the 60-65 level as imports recover and restrictions are potentially lifted." Otkritie Bank analysts said the rouble may firm to 55 to the dollar within a month before weakening to 70-80 by year-end. Russian demands that foreign buyers pay for gas in roubles has also contributed to the rouble's recent rally, analysts said last week. The supply of foreign currency from exporters, high oil prices and an upcoming month-end tax period that usually prompts export-focused companies to convert their forex revenues into roubles to meet local liabilities are all supporting the Russian currency, said BCS Express in a note. CENTRAL BANK INTERVENTIONS? The Vedomosti daily reported on Monday, citing sources, that the central bank had started purchasing foreign currency in order to stop the rouble's uncontrolled strengthening. The central bank denied the report, saying "this information does not correspond to reality". If the central bank were carrying out such interventions, the effect on the rouble rate would be more noticeable, said Promsvyazbank analysts. "Nevertheless, such news could influence the behaviour of market participants and provoke a weakening of the rouble." Russian stock indexes were mixed. The dollar-denominated RTS index was up 2.2% to
1,266.8 points. The rouble-based MOEX Russian index was
2.6% lower at 2,311.2 points.
(Reporting by Reuters
Editing by
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