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    Brazil consumer prices rise more than expected in month to mid-May

    • print Print |
    • A
    • A
    • A
    • BY Reuters|
    • Latin America , Brazil |
    • 8:39 AM ET 05/24/2022

    By Gabriel Araujo and Camila Moreira

    SAO PAULO, May 24 (Reuters) - Brazilian consumer prices rose more than expected in the month to mid-May, statistics agency IBGE said on Tuesday, marking the sharpest jump for the period in six years as the country grapples with galloping inflation.

    The IPCA-15 consumer price index rose 0.59% in the month, according to IBGE.

    That was down from 1.73% in the previous month as the central bank has raised interest rates aggressively, but still above expectations of a 0.45% rise in a Reuters poll.

    Brazil's benchmark rate currently stands at a five-year high of 12.75% as the central bank hiked it by a full percentage point earlier in May, flagging a smaller increase next month.

    But economists already see the higher-than-expected consumer price figures as a signal that hikes will not stop just yet.

    "Today's IPCA-15... will probably trigger upward revisions for both May and full-year figures," said Carlos Macedo, an economist at brokerage Warren.

    "This will make the central bank's job on monetary policy even more difficult. As a consequence, they probably won't halt rate hikes at the next meeting."

    Laiz Carvalho, Brazil economist at BNP Paribas, expects rates to be raised at least two more times, reaching 14.25% by year-end.

    "Given the upward inflationary pressure, we think there is no way for the central bank to stop hiking rates so quickly," she said.

    Inflation in the 12 months to mid-May hit 12.20%, up from 12.03% in mid-April and the highest level for the period since November 2003. Analysts had expected it to remain at 12.03%.

    The central bank has a target range of 3.5% for full-year inflation in 2022, with a tolerance margin of 1.5 percentage point.

    Prices for eight of nine categories of products and services surveyed were up in mid-May. The biggest impact came from transportation, with costs up 1.8%, even though decelerating from the 3.43% increase seen a month ago. (Reporting by Gabriel Araujo and Camila Moreira Editing by Bernadette Baum and Rosalba O'Brien)

    Copyright © Reuters 2008. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.

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    News, commentary and research reports are from third-party sources unaffiliated with Fidelity. Fidelity does not endorse or adopt their content. Fidelity makes no guarantees that information supplied is accurate, complete, or timely, and does not provide any warranties regarding results obtained from their use.

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