CEE MARKETS-Forint recoups some losses ahead of expected rate hike
By Anita Komuves
BUDAPEST, Sept 27 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint
firmed on Tuesday in a positive correction, recouping some
losses from the previous session, with investors eyeing the
central bank's meeting later in the day where analysts expect
the bank to raise its base rate further.
The forint was up 0.38%, trading at 407.00 per
euro ahead of the central bank's decision. Most analysts in a
Reuters poll expect a 100-basis-point rate hike to 12.75%.
"The rate hike is mostly priced in already," an FX trader in
Budapest said. "Today's strengthening is a correction after the
fall yesterday when the prime minister's words on seeking funds
from non-EU sources raised investor concerns."
The currency weakened on Monday after PM Viktor Orban said
that if the European Union does not give Hungary money for
modernising its energy system, then "we will get the necessary
funds from other financial sources."
Orban's press chief and the government spokesman did not
reply to emailed questions from Reuters requesting details on
these financial sources.
Long-term government bond yields continued to tick higher on
Tuesday after a jump of about 25-30 basis points in the previous
session on Orban's comments, a fixed-income trader said.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond was about 9.63%, at
around a 10-year high which it had reached earlier this month.
Investors also eyed the NBH's statement due to be published
at 1300 GMT for guidance on a possible slowdown or end of its
hiking cycle and for the bank's latest inflation projections.
Deputy Governor Barnabas Virag told reporters last Thursday
that the NBH could consider ending its rate rise cycle after
Tuesday's meeting.
Policymakers across central Europe are seeking to end a
cycle of rate hikes running since last year even as inflationary
pressures remain and the world's major central banks keep
pursuing higher rates.
The Czech National Bank, meeting on Thursday, already left
rates unchanged in August for the first time in over a year.
The Polish zloty weakened 0.31% to 4.7640 versus
the common currency. It was pressured by global recession fears
and growing risk aversion towards emerging currencies, Bank
Millennium wrote in a note.
CEE SNAPSH AT
MARKETS OT 1032
CET
CURREN
CIES
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
bid close change in
2022
EURCZK Czech 0 0 % %
EURHUF Hungary 00 00 %
EURPLN Polish EURRON Romania %
EURHRK Croatia EURRSD Serbian 00 50 % %
Note: calculated from 1800
daily CET
change
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
close change in
2022
.PX Prague 1152.2 1151.0 +0.10
5 800 %
.BUX Budapes 38903. 38528. +0.97 -23.30
t 43 86 % %
.WIG20 Warsaw 2 8 % %
.BETI Buchare 10846. 10622. +2.11 -16.95
st 79 15 % %
.SBITO Ljublja 1 8 % %
.CRBEX Zagreb 2 3
.BELEX Belgrad %
.SOFIX Sofia %
Yield Yield Spread Daily
(bid) change vs change
Bund in
Czech spread
Republi
c
CZ2YT= 0 ps
CZ5YT= 0 ps
CZ10YT ps s
Poland
PL2YT= 0 ps
PL5YT= ps
PL10YT ps
FORWARD
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interb
ank
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask
FRA prices
quotes
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(Additional reporting by Pawel Florkiewicz in Warsaw; editing
by Uttaresh.V)