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    /research/markets and sectors

    CEE MARKETS-Forint leads currencies lower on Nord Stream gas leak worries

    • print Print |
    • A
    • A
    • A
    • BY Reuters|
    • Non-Eurozone , Hungary |
    • 5:22 AM ET 09/28/2022
           By Anita Komuves
           BUDAPEST, Sept 28 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint led
    losses in central Europe on Wednesday as currencies in the
    region were pressured by the strength of the dollar and concerns
    over major leaks into the Baltic Sea from two Russian gas
    pipelines.
        The forint shed 1.17% and was trading at 411.30 to
    the euro as it ceded gains from the previous session when it
    firmed after a larger-than-expected 125 bps central bank rate
    hike to 13%.
        The bank also said that it was ending its year-long rate
    hike cycle amid a slowing economy and that it will focus on
    liquidity tightening from now on.
        Wednesday's weakening was not specific to the forint and was
    driven by international events, two FX traders in Budapest said.
    But the central bank's move to end its rate hikes while
    inflation remains on the rise could leave the currency
    vulnerable to shifts in global sentiment, some analysts said.
        "Cheap FX valuation, a more cautious fiscal stance and high
    carry, are supportive for FX, but are offset by the challenging
    external backdrop and now limited monetary policy flexibility,"
    Deutsche Bank wrote in a note.
        "We therefore see the 'forced rate hike' scenario as more
    likely than an end to the tightening cycle."
        The forint, which is the most vulnerable in the region to a
    rise in energy prices, slid alongside its peers on Wednesday as
    global recession fears, a strong dollar and reports of the gas
    leaks weighed on emerging currencies.
        Europe was investigating the leaks, which Germany, Denmark
    and Sweden on Tuesday described as "attacks" on the Nord Stream
    pipelines.
        Reports of the gas leaks "led to FX weakness across the
    region and this theme can be expected to drive the market for
    the rest of the week", ING wrote in a note.
        The Polish zloty weakened 0.5% to 4.8075 per euro
    while the Czech crown edged down 0.02% to 24.685
    versus the European common currency.
        Long-term Hungarian government bond yields also rose as they
    were harried by global market worries and rising core market
    yields, a fixed-income trader in Budapest said.
        The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond was about 9.73%, up
    17 basis points from Tuesday's close.
                      CEE      SNAPSH   AT
                      MARKETS  OT      1043
                                       CET
                               CURREN
                               CIES
                               Latest  Previo  Daily   Change
                                       us
                               bid     close   change  in
                                                       2022
     EURCZK  Czech    0       0               %
     EURHUF  Hungary  00      00               %
     EURPLN  Polish   EURRON  Romania  EURHRK  Croatia  EURRSD  Serbian  00      00       %       %
             Note:    calculated from          1800
             daily                             CET
             change
    
                               Latest  Previo  Daily   Change
                                       us
                                       close   change  in
                                                       2022
     .PX     Prague            1144.9  1144.9   +0.00
                                    2     200       %
     .BUX    Budapes           37967.  38549.  -1.51%  -25.14
             t                     53      03               %
     .WIG20  Warsaw   2       1               %
     .BETI   Buchare           10651.  10773.  -1.13%  -18.45
             st                    72      48               %
     .SBITO  Ljublja  %
     .CRBEX  Zagreb   5       3
     .BELEX  Belgrad  %
     .SOFIX  Sofia    Yield   Yield   Spread  Daily
                               (bid)   change  vs      change
                                               Bund    in
             Czech                                     spread
             Republi
             c
     CZ2YT=           ps
     CZ5YT=           0      ps
     CZ10YT           ps
             Poland
     PL2YT=           ps       s
     PL5YT=           ps       s
     PL10YT           ps       s
                      FORWARD
                               3x6     6x9     9x12    3M
                                                       interb
                                                       ank
             Czech    Hungary  Poland   Note:    are for ask
             FRA      prices
             quotes
             ****************************************
             **********************
     (Additional reporting by Pawel Florkiewicz in Warsaw, editing
    by Mark Heinrich)
    
    
    
    
    Copyright © Reuters 2008. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.

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