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    /research/markets and sectors

    CEE MARKETS-Forint falls to historic low on gas leak worries as region's fx weakens

    • print Print |
    • A
    • A
    • A
    • BY Reuters|
    • Non-Eurozone , Hungary |
    • 4:19 AM ET 09/29/2022
           By Anita Komuves
           BUDAPEST, Sept 29 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint fell
    to a record low versus the euro on Thursday, leading losses in
    central Europe as currencies in the region were hit by worries
    over gas leaks on the Nord Stream pipelines leading from Russia
    to Europe.
        The forint fell 1.22% on the day to trade at
    418.60 per euro. The Polish zloty was 0.64% lower and
    trading at 4.8440 versus the common currency.
        "Even if there is enough gas in Europe for this winter, it
    will be very hard to fix these pipelines and that has a very
    negative effect on European economic prospects and gas prices,"
    an FX trader in Budapest said.
        "Both the Hungarian and Polish currency are victims of this
    negative mood that is hitting most assets in Europe."
        The European Union said it suspects sabotage behind the gas
    leaks as it remained unclear who might be responsible for the
    damage.
        The strength of the dollar and global recession fears were
    also pressuring CEE currencies while liquidity was very low, a
    trader in Warsaw said.
        The National Bank of Hungary said on Tuesday that it was
    ending its year-long rate hike cycle and this step could leave
    the currency vulnerable to shifts in global sentiment, some
    analysts have said.
        On Thursday the bank raised its one-week deposit rate by 125
    bps to 13% at its weekly tender, in line with expectations,
    after a similar increase in the base rate on Tuesday.
    
        Policymakers across central Europe are seeking to end a
    cycle of rate hikes running since last year.
        The Czech crown eased 0.13% to 24.678 per euro
    ahead of a central bank meeting later in the day where no change
    was expected, especially after August inflaton data showed the
    first price growth slowdown in over a year.
        The Czech central bank has intervened in markets since May
    to prevent any excessive weakening.
        "In the... scenario where future inflation prove that the
    central bank was too hasty to end its hiking cycle, we would
    witness sharp pressure on the exchange rate. But otherwise, the
    koruna is likely to trade sideways for now," Commerzbank said.
                      CEE      SNAPSH   AT
                      MARKETS  OT      0957
                                       CET
                               CURREN
                               CIES
                               Latest  Previo  Daily   Change
                                       us
                               bid     close   change  in
                                                       2022
     EURCZK  Czech    0       0               %
     EURHUF  Hungary  00      00               %
     EURPLN  Polish   EURRON  Romania  EURHRK  Croatia  EURRSD  Serbian  00      50       %       %
             Note:    calculated from          1800
             daily                             CET
             change
    
                               Latest  Previo  Daily   Change
                                       us
                                       close   change  in
                                                       2022
     .PX     Prague            1125.7  1144.9  -1.68%
                                    4     200
     .BUX    Budapes           37350.  37731.  -1.01%  -26.36
             t                     15      27               %
     .WIG20  Warsaw   6       7               %
     .BETI   Buchare           10757.  10669.   +0.82  -17.64
             st                    27      33       %       %
     .SBITO  Ljublja  %       %
     .CRBEX  Zagreb   0       2
     .BELEX  Belgrad  %       %
     .SOFIX  Sofia    Yield   Yield   Spread  Daily
                               (bid)   change  vs      change
                                               Bund    in
             Czech                                     spread
             Republi
             c
     CZ2YT=           ps
     CZ5YT=           0      ps
     CZ10YT           ps
             Poland
     PL2YT=           ps
     PL5YT=           ps
     PL10YT           ps
                      FORWARD
                               3x6     6x9     9x12    3M
                                                       interb
                                                       ank
             Czech    Hungary  Poland   Note:    are for ask
             FRA      prices
             quotes
             ****************************************
             **********************
     
    Copyright © Reuters 2008. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.

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