TREASURIES-Yields hit four-month highs on fiscal stimulus hopes

    (Adds details on stimulus talks, updates yields)
    By Karen Brettell
    NEW YORK, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields
rose to four-month highs on Thursday and the yield curve
steepened on hopes that U.S. lawmakers are close to striking a
deal on new fiscal stimulus.
    U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said on Thursday negotiators
were making progress in talks with the Trump administration for
another round of financial aid amid the COVID-19 pandemic and
that legislation could be hammered out "pretty soon."

    Hopes of new fiscal spending has dominated trading this
week, and sent yields higher as it appears that a near-term deal
is more likely.
    "It's headline driven at this point," said Justin Lederer,
an interest rate strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald in New York.
    Many investors are betting that new stimulus is likely after
the Nov. 3 presidential election if lawmakers do not agree to it
now, with Democrats likely to offer a larger package if they win
a majority in the Senate.
    Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose as high
as 0.853%, the highest since June 9. The yield curve between
two-year and 10-year notes steepened to 70 basis
points, the widest spread since June 8.
    New fiscal spending should improve the U.S. economic outlook
and raises the prospect of higher inflation, which would send
yields higher. A glut of Treasury supply to finance the spending
could also weigh on the U.S. bond market.
    Analysts caution that ongoing economic weakness and global
demand for yield could limit any large increase in bond yields.
The Federal Reserve is also expected to shift more of its bond
purchases to longer-dated debt if it sees yields rising faster
than economic growth warrants.
    Yields rose slightly on Thursday after U.S. data showed new
claims for jobless benefits declined more than expected last
week, though they remained extremely high.
    The Treasury Department saw strong demand for a $17 billion
in five-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) on
Thursday.
    It came after a solid auction of $22 billion in 20-year
bonds on Wednesday.
      October 22 Thursday 3:00PM New York / 1900 GMT
                               Price
 US T BONDS DEC0               172-12/32    -0-23/32
 10YR TNotes DEC0              138-88/256   -0-60/25
                                            6
                               Price        Current   Net
                                            Yield %   Change
                                                      (bps)
 Three-month bills             0.09         0.0913    -0.005
 Six-month bills               0.11         0.1116    -0.005
 Two-year note                 99-242/256   0.1533    0.004
 Three-year note               99-196/256   0.204     0.008
 Five-year note                99-102/256   0.3731    0.022
 Seven-year note               98-112/256   0.6053    0.025
 10-year note                  97-236/256   0.8461    0.030
 20-year bond                  94-240/256   1.419     0.032
 30-year bond                  93-100/256   1.6568    0.028

   DOLLAR SWAP SPREADS
                               Last (bps)   Net
                                            Change
                                            (bps)
 U.S. 2-year dollar swap         8.25         0.00
 spread
 U.S. 3-year dollar swap         7.50         0.00
 spread
 U.S. 5-year dollar swap         6.75        -0.75
 spread
 U.S. 10-year dollar swap        2.50        -0.25
 spread
 U.S. 30-year dollar swap      -35.25        -0.25
 spread


 (Editing by Bernadette Baum and Richard Chang)

Copyright © Reuters 2008. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.

News, commentary and research reports are from third-party sources unaffiliated with Fidelity. Fidelity does not endorse or adopt their content. Fidelity makes no guarantees that information supplied is accurate, complete, or timely, and does not provide any warranties regarding results obtained from their use.