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* Spectre of hikes drives bonds and futures lower * 2yr yield above 1%; 10y above 1.85% By Two-year yields, which track short-term rate
expectations, leapt 7.5 basis points (bps) and crossed 1% for
the first time since Benchmark 10-year yields rose more than 6 bps to 1.8550% and Fed funds futures dived as markets baked in a hike in March and three more by the end of the year. The Fed meets next week after a lead-in of fairly aggressive comments from officials highlighting the central bank's readiness to act in the face of stubbornly high inflation. "There appears to be an outside chance that the Fed may want
to act a tad more aggressively in the early part of the
tightening cycle," said "This could come in the form of ending quantitative easing completely in January, instead of waiting till March. Back-to-back hikes (something not seen since the 2004-2006 hike cycle) may also come into play," he said. Tuesday's moves extend a sharp Friday sell-off, following a market holiday on Monday, and at 1.0176% the two-year yield is up more than 30 bps in January so far. In the belly of the curve, five-year yields rose
8 bps on Tuesday to 1.6409%, the highest since "Everyone is pretty sure that (the Fed is) moving soonish,
and when we're talking about a 10-year bond it doesn't really
matter if it's January or March, they're raising rates," said
(Reporting by
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