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The Home Improvement Research Institute Predicts Continued Growth for Home Improvement Products Market, with Ease in Consumer Spending Through 2026Data from the recently released market update indicates a return to pre-pandemic market levels as inflation spikes and households complete home improvement projects
Looking at growth over the last 10 years, the 2.8% increase reflects a healthy market. In 2020 and 2021 alone, consumer spending on home improvement soared to 15% and 13.3%, respectively, as homeowners invested time and money into their spaces that served as homes, offices, schools, gyms and more. "The extreme increase in demand for home improvement products that we witnessed because of the pandemic was bound to calm sooner or later," said HIRI Research Director HIRI cites differing economic circumstances and homeowner needs as reasons for the shift in consumer demand. This year, households are seeing real income decline as inflation climbs and stimulus payments recede. The Forecast predicts U.S. real disposable income to decline by 3.5% in 2022 after climbing 2.2% in 2021. For those left unaffected, disposable funds are expected to be directed toward hobbies or other major purchases, as many report pandemic-era projects being brought to completion. However, contractor-led projects are expected to see an uptick as homeowners become comfortable allowing professional help into their living spaces again. In the short term, the Forecast predicts the total building products market to grow by 4.2% in 2022, with the consumer market growing by 2.6% and the professional market growing by 7.9%. Between 2024 and 2026, the consumer market is expected to average about 3.2% growth, and the professional market to average around 4.8% growth for the same period. This projection highlights a significant rise in contractor activity as well as an overall continued interest in home improvement in the coming years. The Forecast further breaks down this growth by segmented merchandise line. Top-growing merchandise lines for consumers Compound annual growth rate for the consumer market between 2022 and 2026:
Top-growing merchandise lines for professionals Compound annual growth rate for the professional market between 2022 and 2026:
Since 1992, the Home Improvement Products Market Forecast has provided the home improvement industry's only product-focused size of market study with five-year forecasts for the consumer and professional markets. Product category–level detail is provided for the consumer market and, since 2018, for the professional market. Geographic detail is also provided for the nine census divisions with annual estimates at the state level. The Forecast is released in the spring (Q2) and fall (Q3) exclusively to HIRI members. HIRI members receive unlimited access to Home Improvement Products Market Forecasts and Learn more and join as a member at hiri.org. About the Home Improvement Research Institute
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