FOREX-Dollar jumps as wage growth spurs hawkish Fed bets
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Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
(Adds details, quotes, updates prices)
By Karen Brettell
NEW YORK, Dec 2 (Reuters) - The dollar jumped on Friday
after data showed that U.S. employers added more jobs than
expected in November while average hourly earnings also
increased, potentially giving the Federal Reserve more incentive
to raise interest rates.
Employers added 263,000 jobs in November, well above
estimates of 200,000. Average hourly earnings jumped by 0.6% in
the month, above expectations for a 0.3% gain.
Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global
Forex in New York, said that markets reacted to the hourly
earnings data and the participation rate, which declined to
62.1%.
"Both of those measures reflect more than the nonfarm
payroll growth number the tightness of the labor market," he
said.
The dollar index was last up 0.38% on the day against
a basket of currencies at 105.04, though the greenback slipped
0.04% on the day against the Japanese yen to 135.26.
The euro dropped 0.44% on the day to $1.0479.
"Stronger-than-expected hiring can buy the Fed more time to
stay aggressive," Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera
in Washington, said. "The dollar is catching twin tailwinds as
yields rise and risk aversion returns as the jobs report casts
doubt on a soft landing."
The greenback had tumbled on hopes that the Fed was closer
to the end of its tightening cycle after Fed Chairman Jerome
Powell said on Wednesday that it was time to slow rate hikes,
noting that "slowing down at this point is a good way to balance
the risks."
Data on Thursday also showed that inflation is moderating,
with the the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index
rising 0.3% after advancing by the same margin in September. In
the 12 months through October, the PCE price index increased
6.0% after advancing 6.3% in September.
"Markets are really buying into the pivot story from the
Fed," ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole said.
But Friday's data could pause the bearish trend, especially
as the move against the greenback looks stretched in the
near-term.
"The short-term momentum indicators were oversold for the
dollar," Chandler said.
The next major U.S. economic indicator will be consumer
price inflation data due on Dec. 13, one day before the Fed
concludes its two-day meeting on Dec. 14.
The U.S. central bank is expected to increase rates by an
additional 50 basis points at the meeting. Fed funds futures
traders are now pricing for the Fed's benchmark rate to peak at
4.96% in May.
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Currency bid prices at 9:22AM (1422 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Dollar index 105.0400 104.6600 +0.38% 9.802% +105.5900 +104.3600
Euro/Dollar $1.0479 $1.0526 -0.44% -7.82% +$1.0545 +$1.0430
Dollar/Yen 135.2550 135.3300 -0.04% +17.51% +135.9750 +133.6200
Euro/Yen 141.76 142.42 -0.46% +8.78% +142.4700 +140.7800
Dollar/Swiss 0.9407 0.9370 +0.42% +3.15% +0.9439 +0.9326
Sterling/Dollar $1.2206 $1.2264 -0.48% -9.75% +$1.2297 +$1.2137
Dollar/Canadian 1.3463 1.3433 +0.21% +6.47% +1.3520 +1.3422
Aussie/Dollar $0.6771 $0.6812 -0.57% -6.82% +$0.6836 +$0.6743
Euro/Swiss 0.9856 0.9857 -0.01% -4.95% +0.9869 +0.9824
Euro/Sterling 0.8584 0.8589 -0.06% +2.19% +0.8608 +0.8572
NZ $0.6354 $0.6372 -0.27% -7.15% +$0.6412 +$0.6330
Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway 9.8110 9.7265 +0.16% +10.59% +9.8630 +9.7420
Euro/Norway 10.2873 10.2368 +0.49% +2.74% +10.2948 +10.2293
Dollar/Sweden 10.4074 10.2912 +0.64% +15.41% +10.4659 +10.2891
Euro/Sweden 10.9086 10.8390 +0.64% +6.53% +10.9202 +10.8382
(Additional reporting by Samuel Indyk in London and Gertrude
Chavez-Dreyfuss in New York; Editing by Susan Fenton and Andrew
Heavens)