CEE MARKETS-Currencies, stocks rebound as markets take a breather ahead of Fed
By Krisztina Than
BUDAPEST, March 21 (Reuters) - Central European
currencies firmed and stocks rebounded on Tuesday as global
sentiment improved after the rescue of troubled lender Credit
Suisse by its Swiss rival UBS, with shares in Hungary's
OTP jumping 3.1% in early trade.
Hungary's forint, which hit an 11-week low on
Monday past 400 to the euro, was trading at 392 to the euro,
rising 1.07% and outperforming its peers.
"The forint's exchange rate reversed (its retreat) above the
200-day moving average ... with an improvement in international
sentiment coming at the best possible time," brokerage Equilor
said in a note. "Today's trading also looks exciting with
volatility remaining above average."
The Hungarian central bank holds a tender for short-term
discount bills on Tuesday, where it is offering 1 trillion
forints worth of bills as part of its efforts to drain
forint liquidity from the market. It is also holding FX swap
tenders offering euro liquidity to banks.
The bank has maintained an 18% quick deposit rate since last
October, when the forint hit record lows beyond 434 to the euro.
Its base rate of 13% is also the highest in the European Union,
with annual inflation running at 25.4% in February.
Apart from watching news related to the bank sector in
Europe, investors are also looking forward to this week's
meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Investors will be watching to see "whether the tensions in
the banking system would prevent further rate hikes," said
analysts at Magyar Bankholding in a note.
The Polish zloty also firmed, by 0.2% to 4.6965 to
the euro, along with the Czech crown.
Analysts at Commerzbank said the zloty could have more room
to firm this year as inflation is expected to decline.
"The Polish inflation trend looks set to turn more benign
over the coming quarters as it has done in the Czech Republic
(Hungary remains an exception in the hawkish direction),"
Commerzbank said.
"This in turn supports our view that the zloty could
appreciate by the end of this year, other disruptive market
factors permitting."
Stock markets across the region gained on Tuesday, with
Warsaw's WIG 20 index rising 1.3% and Budapest up
1.6% by 0833 GMT.
Prague's index, which on Monday hit a two-month low, was
also up 1.3%, benefiting from improved sentiment. Shares in
utility CEZ rose, but underperformed, after 2022
earnings indicated a record dividend. Profits this year are set
to fall.
CEE SNAPSHO AT
MARKETS T 0933
CET
CURRENC
IES
Latest Previou Daily Change
s
bid close change in 2023
EURCZK Czech EURHUF Hungary 0 0
EURPLN Polish EURRON Romanian EURHRK Croatian EURRSD Serbian 0 0
Note: calculated from 1800
daily CET
change
Latest Previou Daily Change
s
close change in 2023
.PX Prague 1341.90 1324.55 +1.31% +11.66
00 %
.BUX Budapest 41988.5 41343.6 +1.56% -4.12%
1 2
.WIG20 Warsaw .BETI Buchares 12142.8 12053.5 +0.74% +4.11%
t 8 9
.SBITO Ljubljan %
.CRBEX Zagreb 7%
.BELEX Belgrade .SOFIX Sofia Yield Yield Spread Daily
(bid) change vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republic
CZ2YT= 2-year s
CZ5YT= 5-year s
CZ10YT s
Poland
PL2YT= 2-year s
PL5YT= 5-year s
PL10YT s
FORWARD
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interba
nk
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask
FRA prices
quotes
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(Reporting by Krisztina Than in Budapest, and Pawel Florkiewicz
in Warsaw; editing by Mark Potter)